Alabama St
W-L: (16-14) PR = 92.6574Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 H Georgia SEC (22-10, 96.8) 44-73 1108 H Auburn SEC A (15-17, 95.6) 41-82 1113 H We Georgia AS (16-13, 93.3) 61-64 1121 H Vanderbilt SEC V (28- 5, 98.1) 38-92 1201 A AUB-M 70-41 1209 H Baylor B12 (25- 9, 97.0) 36-90 1212 A SC St MEAC ( 3-25, 90.4) 59-53 1217 H Miss St SEC M (18-13, 96.0) 57-** 1228 H LSU SEC (29- 6, 98.2) 41-** 101 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 71-65 103 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 83-50 108 H Alcorn St SWAC A (16-14, 92.5) 40-49 110 H Jackson St SWAC J (11-19, 91.9) 54-62 119 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 41-50 122 A TX Southern SWAC T ( 6-20, 91.0) 82-74 124 A Prairie View SWAC ( 0-28, 88.9) 76-58 129 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-64 131 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 78-60 205 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 61-57 207 H Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 53-67 212 A Miss Val St SWAC ( 9-22, 91.3) 86-70 214 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 79-71 219 A Beth-Cook SWAC ( 5-24, 90.9) 61-60 221 A Florida A&M SWAC ( 8-22, 91.7) 62-59 228 H Alabama A&M SWAC (19-11, 93.5) 43-51 303 A Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 65-63 305 H Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 50-68 312 A Grambling St SWAC (11-19, 92.0) 56-50 313 A AK-Pine Bl SWAC U (15-16, 92.5) 72-59 314 H Southern SWAC S (18-14, 93.2) 56-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 H Georgia 44-73 -29 -4 0.00
1108 H Auburn 41-82 -41 -3 0.00
1113 H We Georgia 61-64 -3 -1 -1.39
1121 H Vanderbilt 38-92 -54 -5 0.00
1209 H Baylor 36-90 -54 -4 0.00
1212 A SC St 59-53 6 2 0.00
1217 H Miss St 57-** -48 -3 0.00
1228 H LSU 41-** -68 -6 0.00
101 A AK-Pine Bl 71-65 6 0 1.83
103 A Miss Val St 83-50 33 1 0.66
108 H Alcorn St 40-49 -9 0 - -2.16
110 H Jackson St 54-62 -8 1 - -2.74
119 H Alabama A&M 41-50 -9 -1 -1.13
122 A TX Southern 82-74 8 2 0.34
124 A Prairie View 76-58 18 4 0.00
129 A Florida A&M 75-64 11 1 1.03
131 A Beth-Cook 78-60 18 2 0.30
205 A Southern 61-57 4 -1 + 2.59
207 H Grambling St 53-67 -14 1 - -2.68
212 A Miss Val St 86-70 16 1 0.66
214 A AK-Pine Bl 79-71 8 0 1.83
219 A Beth-Cook 61-60 1 2 -0.70
221 A Florida A&M 62-59 3 1 1.03
228 H Alabama A&M 43-51 -8 -1 -1.13
303 A Southern 65-63 2 -1 + 2.59
305 H Grambling St 50-68 -18 1 - -2.68
312 A Grambling St 56-50 6 1 1.34
313 A AK-Pine Bl 72-59 13 0 1.83
314 H Southern 56-73 -17 -1 -1.43
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 108 H Alcorn St 40-49 -9 0 - -2.16 110 H Jackson St 54-62 -8 1 - -2.74 207 H Grambling St 53-67 -14 1 - -2.68 305 H Grambling St 50-68 -18 1 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 205 A Southern 61-57 4 -1 + 2.59 303 A Southern 65-63 2 -1 + 2.59 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Georgia (22-10, 96.8) 44-73 -3.13 7.83 -0.01 1.05 -1.64
3 H Auburn (15-17, 95.6) 41-82 -4.29 6.67 -0.01 1.05 -2.25
3 H We Georgia (16-13, 93.3) 61-64 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 1.05 -3.47
3 H Vanderbilt (28- 5, 98.1) 38-92 -1.85 9.11 -0.01 1.05 -0.97
3 H Baylor (25- 9, 97.0) 36-90 -2.87 8.09 -0.01 1.05 -1.51
3 A SC St ( 3-25, 90.4) 59-53 -9.50 1.46 0.01 1.05 3.08
3 H Miss St (18-13, 96.0) 57-** -3.94 7.02 -0.01 1.05 -2.06
3 H LSU (29- 6, 98.2) 41-** -1.71 9.25 -0.01 1.05 -0.90
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 71-65 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.05 7.43
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 83-50 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.05 4.98
3 H Alcorn St (16-14, 92.5) 40-49 -7.39 3.57 -0.01 1.05 -3.87
3 H Jackson St (11-19, 91.9) 54-62 -7.97 2.99 -0.01 1.05 -4.18
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 41-50 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.05 -3.33
3 A TX Southern ( 6-20, 91.0) 82-74 -8.91 2.05 0.01 1.05 4.31
3 A Prairie View ( 0-28, 88.9) 76-58 -10.96 1.00 0.01 1.05 2.11
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 75-64 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.05 5.74
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 78-60 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.05 4.23
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 61-57 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.05 9.02
3 H Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 53-67 -7.92 3.04 -0.01 1.05 -4.15
3 A Miss Val St ( 9-22, 91.3) 86-70 -8.59 2.37 0.01 1.05 4.98
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 79-71 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.05 7.43
3 A Beth-Cook ( 5-24, 90.9) 61-60 -8.95 2.01 0.01 1.05 4.23
3 A Florida A&M ( 8-22, 91.7) 62-59 -8.23 2.73 0.01 1.05 5.74
3 H Alabama A&M (19-11, 93.5) 43-51 -6.36 4.60 -0.01 1.05 -3.33
3 A Southern (18-14, 93.2) 65-63 -6.66 4.30 0.01 1.05 9.02
3 H Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 50-68 -7.92 3.04 -0.01 1.05 -4.15
3 A Grambling St (11-19, 92.0) 56-50 -7.92 3.04 0.01 1.05 6.39
3 A AK-Pine Bl (15-16, 92.5) 72-59 -7.42 3.54 0.01 1.05 7.43
3 H Southern (18-14, 93.2) 56-73 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 1.05 -3.49
------
46.82
|
winning pts = 86.1292 losing points = -39.3057
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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